The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Preseason may help a little. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Durability is atop the list after missing six games last year. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. McKissic. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Never a good idea. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. . The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. Avoid. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Walter Payton 5. Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Barry Sanders 3. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. Think about that for a moment. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. Earl Campbell 9. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. Single Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Curtis Martin 11. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. The Top Ten. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. It's not entirely his fault. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. His career YPC was 3.9. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. O.J. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price.

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